Wednesday, January 17, 2007

Pollsters Beware

Obama announced he was creating an exploratory committee yesterday. Already I have read about twenty different blogs/news articles that say he will announce in Springfield, Illinois--Abraham Lincoln's hometown--in order to cash in on the symbolism, and on the fact that Lincoln was also a very "inexperienced" candidate, but hey, look what he did.

I like Obama and Edwards, and I'll write about why in later posts. For now, let me excerpt the smartest thing I've read about the blizzard of '08 polls that is already hitting the country:

...[H]ere are some names and numbers to remember from March 2002: Al Gore (26 percent), Hillary Clinton (19 percent), Tom Daschle (8 percent), Joe Lieberman (7 percent), Dick Gephardt (7 percent), John Kerry (6 percent), John Edwards (2 percent) and Howard Dean (1 percent.)

That's right, a little under a year and a half before the generals, the eventual presidential nominee, vice presidential nomineee, and almost-presidential nominee were in sixth, seventh, and eighth places, respectively.

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